There is very little certainty in Group B of Euro 2020 as the final match in the pool stage takes place on Monday at 9pm.
Beyond knowing that powerhouses Belgium are through, the statisticians are on standby to separate the teams after the final whistles have been blown.
Just one likely scenario is that Belgium beat Finland and Denmark beat Russia … that would leave three teams on three points. Goal scored in the two matches tonight will then separate the teams from 2,3 and 4 on the table.
Looking at Belgium against Finland, the group leaders are unlikely to take their foot off the pedal. Key to their bigger picture will be allowing Kevin de Bruyne, who almost single-handedly helped his side overcome Denmark, Real Madrid playmaker Eden Hazard and midfielder Axel Witsel some game time as they work their way to full fitness. Those three names alone should be enough for Belgium to earn at least a point.
Having not lost any of their previous four, Denmark now need to win after two straight championship losses.
“No matter what, we shall go out there and try win the match. It is going to be an unbelievably hard match against Russia. They are a good team. We shouldn’t force anything. We all know how hard it is to force things, and we should keep a level head and prevent mistakes. It is going to be a good, long game again,” said Denmark coach Kasper Hjulmand.
Martin Braithwaite and Yussuf Poulsen will need to capitalise on any chances while Russia have struggled for goals. Artem Dzyuba remains Russia’s biggest threat in the final third.
As it stands:
Belgium – 6 points
Russia -3 points
Finland – 3 points
Denmark – 0 points
What needs to happen to qualify:
Belgium are through and will top the group with a draw.
Russia will be through with a win, or a draw if Finland fail to beat Belgium.
Finland will be through with a win, or a draw if Russia lose to Denmark.
Denmark can finish second if they beat Russia and Finland lose against Belgium, but it will all depend on the goals scored in these two matches.
If Belgium, Russia and Finland all finish on 6 points (ahead of Denmark on 0), they will be split on goal difference from matches between the three teams though all will advance at least as a best third-placed team.